Here is the extract of the concluding paragraph from last week’s update:
“The Nifty could rally to the immediate resistance at 5,610-5,620 range. A breakout past 5,650 could help the index seek higher levels of 5,700-5,750. The stop loss for those considering long positions should be placed below the recent swing low of 5,477. A stop loss at 5,460 should probably be in order.”
As expected, the undertone was positive and the breakout past 5,650 helped the Nifty sail to the major resistance at 5,750. That the index has cleared the minor swing high at 5,755 is a healthy sign from a short-term perspective. The moot question now is “Is the worst over for the Nifty and is a significant low in place at 5,477 recorded on April 10?
The answer to the above question is Your guess is as good as mine. On a more serious note, there more reasons to lean on the positive side. The index has moved above the centre blue line which is the minimum retracement requirement in a downtrend. The Nifty has edged past this level today which is a sign of strength.
On the flip side, the index is yet to move above the downsloping red trendline which is a major trend barrier. We just have to await fresh clues from the price action before declaring outright victory for the bullish camp. The index now is a NO-TRADE-ZONE as there are no reasons to either consider fresh long or short positions. Those holding long positions may trail their stop at 5,740.
It would not be out-of-context to post this weekly chart of Nifty which would appease the die-hard bullish campers.
Looking at the above chart, there is a compelling case to conclude that a significant low is in place at 5,477. We are probably in the nascent stages of the next leg up. Those willing to buy this argument have to await a pull-back to get buy (unless you are already long) the Nifty, with a stop loss at 5,450, a touch below the recent swing low.
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Awesome chart reading sir…
Hi, super basic questions – why does the weekly chart look different from daily chart? And, why the forecast looks bullish in the weekly chart but no so much in the daily chart? So, when does one need to look at the weekly chart compared to daily charts?
Hi Sheetal,
There is nothing incongruent in sporting a bullish view in one time frame and an opposing view in another. We DO NOT advocate looking at multiple time frames as this could lead to confusion, especially to newcomers.
Select the time frame you are comfortable trading and stick to that time frame. Take trades off of the chart in that time frame that you are comfortable with.
Regarding your question, the trend does look more bullish in the weekly time frame, as evident from the chart.
In the daily time frame, the outlook is not bearish. It would turn positive if key resistance levels are overhauled. In such a scenario, both the daily and weekly time frame would sport a bullish tone.
Hope this helps. Else, please drop a line and we will try to address your concern.
Best.
B.Krishnakumar
Hi, super basic questions – why does the weekly chart look different from daily chart? And, why the forecast looks bullish in the weekly chart but no so much in the daily chart? So, when does one need to look at the weekly chart compared to daily charts?
Hi Sheetal,
There is nothing incongruent in sporting a bullish view in one time frame and an opposing view in another. We DO NOT advocate looking at multiple time frames as this could lead to confusion, especially to newcomers.
Select the time frame you are comfortable trading and stick to that time frame. Take trades off of the chart in that time frame that you are comfortable with.
Regarding your question, the trend does look more bullish in the weekly time frame, as evident from the chart.
In the daily time frame, the outlook is not bearish. It would turn positive if key resistance levels are overhauled. In such a scenario, both the daily and weekly time frame would sport a bullish tone.
Hope this helps. Else, please drop a line and we will try to address your concern.
Best.
B.Krishnakumar
Awesome chart reading sir…