In February 2026, the Nifty 50 declined 0.56% (142 points) and closed below the 200-day EMA after reclaiming it in March 2025. Bank Nifty outperformed, rising 1.54% (918.55 points). Sentiment weakened early as markets fell nearly 2% on Budget day after the increase in F&O STT charges. Optimism over a potential US–India trade deal later triggered a sharp 2.5% single-day rebound, making February highly volatile. Despite this, selling pressure persisted at higher levels with 26,000 acting as a key resistance. The RBI kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25%, raised FY26 GDP growth to 7.4%, and projected FY27 inflation at 4.0–4.2%. GST collections for February rose 8.1% YoY to ₹1.83 lakh crore. In the cash segment FIIs sold ₹6,641 crore, while DIIs bought ₹38,423 crore.
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